Early indicators point to mild winter across Middle Tennessee

(Courtesy: iReport2)
(Courtesy: iReport2)

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN)- Early indicators point to a milder than average winter across Middle Tennessee, according to News 2 meteorologist Davis Nolan.

Nolan said The National Weather Service’s (NWS) winter outlook calls for a greater than 33 percent chance, but less than 40 percent chance, of above normal temperatures.

(Graphic: National Weather Service)
(Graphic: National Weather Service)

Additionally, the precipitation outlook calls for equal chances of above or below normal precipitation.

The NWS is forecasting La Niña conditions (essentially the opposite of El Niño) to develop in the Pacific later this fall.

“This usually means above normal temps for much of the nation, especially the lower half,” said Nolan.

“However, it should be noted that the La Niña has not developed yet and that the NWS have changed their forecast for a La Niña twice during the last several months. That indicates the uncertainty of these types of forecasts,” added Nolan.

Should the forecast verify, it does not mean that there will not be cold weather or snow this winter. It only means that when you average the three months of December, January and February, the temperature ends up above normal and there is an equal chance for above or below precipitation.

(Graphic: National Weather Service)
(Graphic: National Weather Service)